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  • Brazil Pre-Race Analysis
    Written by

    Rain best hope breaking Vettel's serious of victories

    As usual, Vettel is the clear favourite to win, with odds of 33/100 (1.33) from Paddy Power. However, rain is currently predicted throughout the race according to BBC Weather. Vettel's car is clearly the quickest but the chaos and confusion of a wet race makes his low odds far too risky.

    Whilst his competitors will still struggle to beat Vettel, the high odds of all other drivers makes them far better value given the opportunities opened by a wet race. Rosberg's odds of 52/5 (11.4) from Betfair are very attractive after coming first in both FP1 and FP2 (whilst not running in FP3). Also, the rain will mean track temperatures will be relatively cool, meaning the Mercedes should have better tire degradation than it often has. Meanwhile, Alonso's odds of 9/1 (10.0) from SkyBet are also very nice. Last year the Ferrari was typically the quickest car in the rain (although the lack of wet races this year leaves its performance this year uncertain) and he actually believes he could have gone quicker in qualifying, reports ESPN. Alonso is the master of opportunity, taking advantage of situations rain can supply. Betting on both Rosberg and Alonso to win is quite probably the best approach, accepting the loss if Vettel wins but making a considerable profit if either Rosberg or Alonso take victory, far from an impossibility given how competitive they look.

    Rosberg also has good odds for a podium at 11/10 (2.10) from Bet 365. Looking strong in free practise and avoiding the Mercedes main weakness of high tire degradation means he should be very competitive.

    Odds above accurate at Sunday 24th, 9.45 GMT. Click to see live odds.

    Written on Sunday, 24 November 2013 09:45 in Spanish Grand Prix Read 1017 times

F1 Betting News

  • Saturday, 2 March 2013 2013 Driver Lineup Finalised

    The driver line up took some time to finalise. Force India appeared to have the final seat left on the grid. They had a choice between Adrian Sutil or Jules Bianchi. Adrian Sutil previously raced for Force India before loosing out to Nico Hulkenburg in 2011, leaving him without a drive. Jules Bianchi meanwhile was a long term test driver for Force India. The team eventually picked Sutil, leaving Bianchi out of a race seat. Meanwhile, Luiz Razia was set to drive for Marussia but his sponsorship money was not forthcoming. Marussia decided to drop him in favour of Bianchi, completing the field for 2013.

    2013 now sees the biggest change in lineup since 2010. With Schumacher leaving and Hamilton joining Mercedes, this left a seat free at McLaren. Perez took it, leaving his Sauber to be filled by Nico Hulkenburg who moved from Force India. Kobayashi retires, replaced by Gutierrez and Senna retires, replaced by Bottas.

    2013 Driver Lineup
    Red Bull
    Sebastian Vettel
    Mark Webber
    McLaren
    Jenson Button
    Sergio Pérez [Moved from Sauber]
    Ferrari
    Fernando Alonso
    Felipe Massa
    Lotus
    Kimi Raikkonen
    Romain Grosjean
    Mercedes
    Lewis Hamilton [Moved from McLaren]
    Nico Rosberg
    Sauber
    Nico Hulkenberg [Moved from Force India]
    Esteban Gutiérrez [New addition]
    Force India
    Paul di Resta
    Adrian Sutil [New addition]
    Williams
    Pastor Maldonado
    Valtteri Bottas [New Addition]
    Toro Rosso
    Daniel Ricciardo
    Jean-Éric Vergne
    Catherham
    Charles Pic
    Giedo Van Der Garde
    Marussia
    Jules Bianchi
    Max Chilton

    Retiring Drivers
    Mercedes
    Micheal Schumacher
    Sauber
    Kamui Kobayashi
    Williams
    Bruno Senna
    Catherham
    Vitaly Petrov
    Heikki Kovalainen
    Marussia
    Timo Glock
    HRT
    Narain Karthikeyan
    Pedro de la rosa

Driver Analysis

  • Fernando Alonso

    Currently leading the championship, Alonso has looked exceptional this season. He exploits every opportunity and get the maximum possible from his car. However skilled, though, some of his recent success has been due to luck. He started 9th in Malaysia and 11th in Valencia: both those wins came after the drivers who qualified higher collided with one another or had mechanical issues. For Alonso to continue his success he needs to improve his qualifying, having only started top 3 on four occasions this year. The pole positions at Silverstone and Germany were his first in almost two years and were probably due to Alonso's skill in the rain. Whilst the Ferrari has improved since Australia, Alonso admits his car lacks the pace of his competitors.

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