Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
Saturday, 3 November 2012 by

Abu Dhabi Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Rate this item
(0 votes)

Vettel faces a challenge.
FP3 Results
Starting Position
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Button
3rd
Vettel
4th
Webber
5th
Hulkenberg
6th
Grosjean
7th
Maldonado
8th
Alonso
9th
Raikkonen
10th
di Resta
11th
Massa
12th
Perez
13th
Rosberg
14th
Schumacher
15th
Kobayashi
16th
Vergne
17th
Senna
18th
Ricciardo
In an interesting turn around after the last few races Hamilton has similar odds for pole as Vettel has. Both drivers have around 1/1 (2.00) for victory. This is mainly due to an unusual free practise three. During the second free practice Vettel was fastest with a 0.2 second lead over Hamilton in 2nd. However, in third practise Vettel suffered from some mechanical difficulties and only started doing quick laps with about five minutes remaining on the clock. For almost the entire session Hamilton was over a second quicker than everyone but his team mate and by the end Vettel was half a second off.

FP3 is usually a good indication of qualifying pace so this would suggest Hamilton is best for pole. However, it is unclear how what time Vettel might have put in had he had no mechanical issues. Webber has usually been within a tenth of a second of Vettel so is a good indication of Vettel’s likely performance. Given that Webber was still half a second behind Hamilton this suggests Vettel lacks pace. However, the free practise sessions should be assessed differently at Abu Dhabi. Since qualifying and the race start just before dusk and goes into the night, the closest conditions to qualifying are FP2 and not FP3. On this basis missing out on most of FP3 was not a huge disadvantage for Vettel. Since was quicker than Hamilton in FP2 it looks like Vettel is the better bet. With so much uncertainty though it is probably wiser to avoid betting on qualifying and wait until the results are before betting on the race.

Odds above accurate at Saturday 3rd, 11.54 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © JiteshJagadish

Read 2231 times Last modified on Saturday, 03 November 2012 11:55

More in this category: Abu Dhabi Pre Race Analysis »