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Saturday, 27 October 2012, by

India Pre-Race Analysis

Vettel set to win from pole

Qualifying Results
1st
Vettel
2nd
Webber
3rd
Hamilton
4th
Button
5th
Alonso
6th
Massa
7th
Raikkonen
8th
Perez
9th
Maldonado
10th
Rosberg
11th
Grosjean
12th
Hulkenberg
13th
Senna
14th
Schumacher
15th
Ricciardo
16th
di Resta
17th
Kobayashi
18th
Vergne
Vettel adds another pole position to the record and looks likely collect another win also. His odds are extremely low at 2/5 (1.40) from SkyBet. Although Vettel is most likely to win, betting on other drivers is advised given how little profit can be made from Vettel. Webber has odds of 7/1 (8.00) from Blue Square despite being only a 50th of a second slower than Vettel. If Webber can get a reasonable start then he should be a factor and with such high odds is worth a small bet.

Although Vettel looks to have the advantage, the top 6 cars are separated by only half a second so the fight for the podium should be extremely competitive. Hamilton has odds of 1/1 (2.00) whilst Button and Alonso both have odds of 13/10 (2.30) for the podium, all from Paddy Power. With the pace so similar it probably is a fight between Hamilton who is the highest up of those three drivers and with Alonso who usually finishes higher than he finishes. There is little to choose between them but with higher odds and more reliability Alonso is better value for money. Perez starts in 8th in a car which usually finishes further up than it qualifies so 3/2 (2.50) for a top 6 finish from Bet 365 is highly recommended. Finally, odds of 2/1 (3.00) for Senna to score points from Blue Square are reasonable given how strong he looked during parts of free practice and Q1.

Odds above accurate at Friday 27th, 20:04 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © nhayashida

Friday, 26 October 2012, by

India Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Vettel continues his dominance in India

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Vettel
Vettel
2nd
Button
Webber
3rd
Alonso
Alonso
4th
Hamilton
Rosberg
5th
Webber
Raikkonen
6th
Rosberg
Hamilton
7th
Massa
Button
8th
Schumacher
Hulkenberg
9th
Ricciardo
Grosjean
10th
Raikkonen
Senna
11th
Bottas
di Resta
12th
di Resta
Perez
13th
Kobayashi
Schumacher
14th
Hulkenberg
Ricciardo
15th
Grosjean
Massa
16th
Maldonado
Kobayashi
17th
Vergne
Maldonado
18th
Petrov
Vergne
F1 returns for the second India GP and for the second year running Red Bull look like the team to beat. Vettel heads both free practice sessions, Webber was second in FP2 and the Red Bull has clearly been the fastest car for some races now. The main chance of upsetting this trend could have been Alonso using the experimental exhaust that Massa put to good use in Korea. The Ferrari is clearly extremely competitive with Alonso finishing 3rd in both free practice sessions but it doesn’t look like he has the pace to challenge the Red Bulls.

Vettel is the firm favourite in the battle for pole and his extremely low odds of 2/5 (1.40) from Betfair reflect this. By contrast, Webber has 5/1 (6.00) from Paddy Power for pole which is incredibly good value for money. Vettel has only had one pole position in the last eight races, exactly the same number as pole positions that Webber has taken. This is only the third race since the Red Bull became the dominant car and both Red Bull drivers have each taken the 1st place slot on the grid in those two races. Also, Webber was only a 10th behind Vettel in FP2. Although arguably Vettel does have superior pace a small better on Webber for pole is worthwhile since he has such high odds. Although Alonso looks too weak for pole he appears to have the edge over the McLarens, finishing 3 tenths ahead of Hamilton in FP2. Odds of 1/1(2.00) for Alonso to qualify top 3 from Betfair is a good bet.

Rosberg was running strong in both free practice sessions and may have a successful race after some disappointing recent performances. Odds of 9/2 (5.50) for a top 6 finish from Blue Square and 1/1 (2.00) for a points finish from Bet 365 are both good value given that the Mercedes suits the long straights in India. Also, although Alonso probably has the edge, Hamilton’s odds of 7/5 (2.40) from Blue Square for a podium are very high for such a competitive car.

Odds above accurate at Friday 26th, 23:15 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © iCena