Error
  • JUser: :_load: Unable to load user with ID: 264

Korean Grand Prix

Saturday, 13 October 2012, by

Korea Pre-Race Analysis

Red Bulls battle for pole
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Webber
2nd
Vettel
3rd
Hamilton
4th
Alonso
5th
Raikkonen
6th
Massa
7th
Grosjean
8th
Hulkenberg
9th
Rosberg
10th
Schumacher
11th
Button
12th
Perez
13th
Kobayashi
14th
di Resta
15th
Maldonado
16th
Ricciardo
17th
Vergne
18th
Senna
The second race in a row sees an all Red Bull front row although most usually it is Webber who sits in P1. Despite this, Vettel is considered the favourite, with odds of 21/20 (2.05) from Betfair compared with 7/1 (4.50) for Webber to win from Bet 365. Vettel possibly is more likely to win, he has been slightly ahead of Webber most the rest of the weekend, Webber is renowned for his weak starts and it is conceivable that Webber might even hand Vettel the victory on the final lap to support the team. However, even given these factors Webber is still good value for money. He has only been marginally slower, and there’s no guarantee he will have a bad start or hand victory over. If both Red Bulls are very competitive then victory might be decided by some minor factor like which Red Bull driver stays out longer during pit stops or comes out behind traffic. Betting on both drivers is advised. If betting £10, place £7 on Vettel to win £14.35 and £3 on Webber to win £13.50. Alternative, place £5 on Vettel to break even and £5 on Webber to win £22.50.

No other driver looks like to challenge Red Bulls. They have been slightly behind all weekend. Both Hamilton and Alonso have odds of 5/1 (6.00) for victory from SkyBet which is only slightly behind the substantially faster Webber. Both of them are likely to challenge for the podium position behind the Red Bulls with, both having odds of 1/1 (2.00) from Betfair. Alonso is the better bet given the reliability of the Ferrari and that he was ahead of Hamilton in free practice.

Odds above accurate at Saturday 13th, 23.44 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © nic_r

Friday, 12 October 2012, by

Korea Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Both the strongest qualifiers top free practice
Free Practice Results
FP1
FP2
Hamilton
Vettel
Alonso
Webber
Webber
Alonso
Massa
Button
Vettel
Schumacher
Schumacher
Massa
Rosberg
Rosberg
Grosjean
Hamilton
di Resta
Hulkenberg
Button
Raikkonen
Raikkonen
Grosjean
Maldonado
Senna
Bianchi
di Resta
Kobayashi
Kobayashi
Perez
Perez
Ricciardo
Vergne
Vergne
Ricciardo
Bottas
Maldonado
Although Hamilton toped FP1, the chances are that Vettel will dominate Korea in 2012. He won in 2011 and was leading the race in 2010 before retirement from mechanical failure. Although he was only 5th in FP1, during the high speed runs both Red Bulls held a good lead over their competitors, with Hamilton only managing 8th. This gives Vettel the substantially lowest odds but this also means Hamilton and Webber have much higher odds. Vettel’s odds of 7/10 (1.70) for pole from Blue Square are not bad but Webber was within a 10th of a second and has odds of 61/10 (7.10) from Betfair for pole. Placing a main bet on Vettel and a back up bet on Webber is advised. If betting £10, place £7 on Vettel to see a return of £12.6 and £2 on Webber to see a return of £14.2. The interesting question is if Hamilton can challenge them but based on the high speed runs in FP2 it looks doubtful. Meanwhile, pole position from anyone else is difficult to imagine.

For some early bets on the race itself it is worth noting that both the Mercedes qualified above both Lotus driver in FP1 and FP2. Mercedes have had some good result in Korea despite a retirement each race, with Schumacher coming 4th in 2010 and Rosberg running 5th before accidentally running wide and coming 8th. Although taking podiums would be highly ambitious, both drivers have very good odds for a top six finish. Rosberg had (4.33) from Paddy Power and Schumacher had (4.50) from Bet 365 , both of which are good value for money.

Odds above accurate at Friday 12th, 20.38 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © Ryosuke Yagi

Best F1 Odds - Live