Korean Grand Prix
Friday, 12 October 2012 by

Korea Pre-Qualifying Analysis

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Both the strongest qualifiers top free practice
Free Practice Results
FP1
FP2
Hamilton
Vettel
Alonso
Webber
Webber
Alonso
Massa
Button
Vettel
Schumacher
Schumacher
Massa
Rosberg
Rosberg
Grosjean
Hamilton
di Resta
Hulkenberg
Button
Raikkonen
Raikkonen
Grosjean
Maldonado
Senna
Bianchi
di Resta
Kobayashi
Kobayashi
Perez
Perez
Ricciardo
Vergne
Vergne
Ricciardo
Bottas
Maldonado
Although Hamilton toped FP1, the chances are that Vettel will dominate Korea in 2012. He won in 2011 and was leading the race in 2010 before retirement from mechanical failure. Although he was only 5th in FP1, during the high speed runs both Red Bulls held a good lead over their competitors, with Hamilton only managing 8th. This gives Vettel the substantially lowest odds but this also means Hamilton and Webber have much higher odds. Vettel’s odds of 7/10 (1.70) for pole from Blue Square are not bad but Webber was within a 10th of a second and has odds of 61/10 (7.10) from Betfair for pole. Placing a main bet on Vettel and a back up bet on Webber is advised. If betting £10, place £7 on Vettel to see a return of £12.6 and £2 on Webber to see a return of £14.2. The interesting question is if Hamilton can challenge them but based on the high speed runs in FP2 it looks doubtful. Meanwhile, pole position from anyone else is difficult to imagine.

For some early bets on the race itself it is worth noting that both the Mercedes qualified above both Lotus driver in FP1 and FP2. Mercedes have had some good result in Korea despite a retirement each race, with Schumacher coming 4th in 2010 and Rosberg running 5th before accidentally running wide and coming 8th. Although taking podiums would be highly ambitious, both drivers have very good odds for a top six finish. Rosberg had (4.33) from Paddy Power and Schumacher had (4.50) from Bet 365 , both of which are good value for money.

Odds above accurate at Friday 12th, 20.38 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © Ryosuke Yagi

Read 1275 times Last modified on Sunday, 14 October 2012 19:34

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