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Sunday, 23 September 2012, by

Singapore Pre Race Analysis

4th Pole Position for McLaren in a row
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Maldonado
3rd
Vettel
4th
Button
5th
Alonso
6th
di Resta
6th
Webber
8th
Grosjean
9th
Schumacher
10th
Rosberg
11th
Hulkenberg
12th
Raikkonen
13th
Massa
14th
Perez
15th
Ricciardo
16th
Vergne
17th
Senna
18th
Kobayashi

Despite Vettel looking stronger throughout the practise sessions once again a McLaren has qualified on pole. The previous three races this season saw McLaren win from pole and the previous three races at Singapore saw the pole sitter take victory. On this basis Hamilton is the clear favourite and his odds of 67/100 (1.67) from SkyBet. Little money can be made on Hamilton but there will much loss if anyone else wins. There are far higher odds found a few places down and spreading your money around is wise. Place £10 on Hamilton, £5 on Vettel at 19/5 (4.80) from Betfair and £1 on Maldonado at 16/1 (17.00) from Bet 365 and you'd make break even if Hamilton wins, make £14 if Vettel wins and £7 if Maldonado wins, though lose £16 if none win. The main danger with this plan is the first corner and how Maldonado handles it. On this basis there's actually substantially more uncertainty to Singapore this year on a circuit that is normally fairly predictable.

Maldonado is probably a good bet for a podium at 11/4 (3.75) from Bet 365 given how difficult overtaking is at Singapore. Raikkonen is also a wild card for a podium at 9/1 (10.00) from Bet 365. Although down in 12th, Raikkonen can choose to run the harder tire and go on a long first stint or even stop one less time. With the pitlane being the longest of the season at Singapore he could make many places up on the first round of pit stops. Finally, Grosjean to finish top 6 when starting in 8th at 109/50 (3.18) from Betfair is very good value.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 23rd, 11.15 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © TimoStudios

Sunday, 23 September 2012, by

Singapore Pre Qualifying Analysis

Vettel back on the pace at the Marina Bay

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Vettel
Vettel
2nd
Hamilton
Button
3rd
Button
Alonso
4th
Alonso
Webber
5th
Maldonado
Hamilton
6th
Webber
di Resta
7th
Hulkenberg
Hulkenberg
8th
di Resta
di Resta
9th
Ricciardo< >
Massa< >
10th
Perez
Grosjean
11th
Senna
Schumacher
12th
Raikkonen
Raikkonen
13th
Kobayashi
Maldonado
14th
Schumacher
Ricciardo
15th
Grosjean
Perez
16th
Massa
Kobayashi
17th
Vergne
Senna
18th
Rosberg
Vergne
Vettel is quickest in both free practice sessions which is crucial since Singapore is almost always won from pole. Despite this, Hamilton has higher odds for victory of 2/1 (3.00) from Blue Square to Vettel's of (4.50) from Paddy Power. Vettel is defiantly better value for money. Alonso and Button also set competitive times but their odds of (6.70) and (8.40) respectively from Betfair cannot be recommended compaired to Vettel.

As with other courses that usually won from pole it is recommended to skip betting on qualifying. Take advantage of the higher odds for victory by placing a bet on whoever you think will take pole to win the race.

Odds above accurate at Saturday 22nd, 03.48 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © Shiny Things

Sunday, 23 September 2012, by

Singapore Pre Weekend Analysis

The 14th Race of 2012, Singapore Grand Prix at the Marina Bay Street Circuit.

Previous Winners
2011
Vettel
2010
Alonso
2009
Hamilton
2008
Vettel
The situation going into Singapore is quite different to the previous bout of races. The story since Valencia has been Alonso sitting comfortably ahead and only the Red Bulls looked likely to catch him. However, with McLaren winning the last three races and Raikkonen continuing his run of high finishes it looks like Alonso has new challengers.

Pole position has yielded victory on three of the four occasions at Singapore, the only exception Alonso's controversial win in 2007. Hamilton and Vettel are usually the two jousting for pole but Hamilton has substantially mastered Vettel in recent qualifying sessions. Over the last four qualifying sessions, Hamilton has come 1st, 8th, 1st and 8th compared to Vettel's 6th, 11th, 4th and 2nd. Hamilton is rightly favourite to win with odds of 12/5 (3.40) from Paddy Power. These odds are not bad but waiting on the free practice sessions is advised. The bookies think his main competitor is Alonso with odds of 5/1 (6.00) from Blue Square but this seems overrated. Whilst Alonso had a brilliant race in Italy, Monza is a track which the Ferrari suited well. Although Alonso usually does well at Singapore these odds are too low with so many competitors.

Grid position of race winner since 2008
Grid Position
Number of times
1st
3
15th
1
After such resent difficulties the Red Bulls are probably being undervalued. Vettel has perhaps his lowest odds this season for a race win at 3/2 (2.50) fromBet 365. Given that he had an excellent race at Spa whilst Monza is probably the worst track for the Red Bulls this is not bad value for money. Also, both Red Bulls have made the podium in the last two races here, meaning 3/2 (2.50) for Vettel from Paddy Power and 16/5 (4.20) from Betfair for Webber to finish top 3 seem good value for money. Meanwhile, Perez is usually a good bet for a podium finish but after his stunning race at Monza 7/1 (8.00) from Bet365 seems too low, especially since he not yet taken a podium at a street circuit.

Odds above accurate at Thursday 20th, 23.02 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © yellowhandman

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