Spanish Grand Prix
Sunday, 8 September 2013 by

Italy Pre-Race Analysis

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Vettel set for an easy win

Vettel is the clear favorite starting from the front. He dominated practice and qualifying whilst many competitors struggled; the nearest Mercedes or Lotus is five places behind. His main challengers are Ferrari and Webber. Except for mechanical error is it difficult to imagine Webber beating him. Meanwhile, eight of the victories in the last decade at Monza have come from pole position so Alonso would struggle to win from 5th. Vettel's odds of ½ (1.50) from SkyBet are good value for him to win, mainly gambing against the possibility of an engine failure. A small backup bet on Webber to win at 19/2 (10.50) from Betfair might be worthwhile given the high strain Monza puts on the engines and that Vettel's Red Bull seems prone to mechanical errors.

Massa's odds of 4/1 (5.00) for a podium from Bet 365 seem reasonable. Hulkenberg should provide no challenge whilst Alonso will presumably pass Massa, leaving Massa in 4th. Since both Mercedes and Lotus are struggling, Massa is unlikely to fall further back. If Webber makes a bad start or either Red Bull suffers from a mechanical failure then Massa would finish top 3.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 08th, 11.52 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Read 1717 times Last modified on Sunday, 08 September 2013 10:59