Spanish Grand Prix
Saturday, 5 October 2013 by

Korea Pre-Race Analysis

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Rain could result in a chaotic race

As usual Vettel is favoured for victory but he faces a greater challenge than usual. His pole time was only two tenths quicker than Hamilton whilst both Vettel and Hamilton looked about equal in free practise. Whilst Vettel should be favourite in a straight race, his odds of 11/25 (1.44) from SkyBet are far too low. Crucially, rain is currently predicted. Whilst typhoon conditions are now unlikely, some rain should still occur during the race. Given the unpredictability this will bring Vettel should definitely be avoided. Hamilton's odds of 4/1 (5.00) from Bet 365 are much better. He has a chance in a dry race but largely you are hoping Hamilton can take advantage of the changing conditions. The odds are good even though you are gambling upon the random factor of weather though live betting is an alternative if you get up early enough. Greater winnings could be had by counting on a chaotic race and going for Alonso, Rosberg or Grosjean for victory though all three would be true gamble. Of those three, Grosjean has the highest odds at 31/1 (32.00) from Betfair whilst he starts in 3rd and the Lotus usually does well at warmer circuits – he might be worth putting a couple of pounds on.

Grosjean's odds for a top six finish of 1/2 (1.50) from Bet 365 are reasonable. Starting 3rd, the only drivers likely to have any chance of passing him are Rosberg, Alonso, Raikkonen and Webber. Grosjean would have to have a very weak race to be passed by Webber who starts in 13th so a top 6 finish is likely.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 6th, 00.11 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Read 1876 times Last modified on Saturday, 05 October 2013 23:30