USA Grand Prix
Saturday, 17 November 2012 by

USA Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Rate this item
(0 votes)

F1 returns to America

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Vettel
Vettel
2nd
Hamilton
Webber
3rd
Alonso
Alonso
4th
Button
Hamilton
5th
Webber
Button
6th
Massa
Massa
7th
Hulkenberg
Rosberg
8th
Kobayashi
Senna
9th
Rosberg
Kobayashi
10th
Perez
Schumacher
11th
di Resta
Raikkonen
12th
Ricciardo
Maldonado
13th
Vergne
Grosjean
14th
Raikkonen
Perez
15th
Grosjean
Ricciardo
16th
Maldonado
Vergne
17th
Schumacher
Hulkenberg
18th
Pic
di Resta
Although Formula 1 is visiting a new circuit the situation looks very familiar. Vettel is quickest in both free practise sessions and over half a second quicker to the nearest competitor in both. On the surface it looks like an easy victory for Vettel. The Red Bull is currently massively quick and COTA's long sweeping corners suit's Red Bull. However, cautions is advised. Being a new circuit, COTA could throw up some unexpected challenges. Firstly, the first corner is a blind up hill left hand turn. The possibility of a substantial a first corner crash is very real. Secondly, the high heat of Austin might mean tire degradation play a major role during the race. Finally, as highlighted by multiple spins during free practise, the track still lacks grip compared to most courses. Despite the speed of the Red Bull all these factors make victory for any driver is even more uncertain than usual. With all these unknown factors betting large amounts at Austin is not advised.

All this uncertainly make qualifying more important for betting. With the Red Bulls looking so strong it seems unlikely that any other car could beat them in qualifying. Vettel is favorite for pole position with odds of (1.49) from Betfair. However, Webber has odds of 8/1 (9.00) from Betfair which is much better value for money. Over the last four races since since the Red Bull became so dominant, both drivers has been near equal at qualifying. Each race they have qualified next to one another and twice Vettel was in front whilst twice Webber was in front. Judging by those four races there is little reason to favour one driver over the over. Betting on both is advised, try to break even on Vettel and then make profit on Webber. If betting £10 then place £7 on Vettel and £3 on Webber. You make 43p profit is Vettel take pole, £17 if Webber takes pole and lose £10 someone beats them. With Hamilton over a second off the pace in FP2 and Alonso having not taken a dry weather pole in many years this is as safe a bet as you'll likely find this weekend.

Odds above accurate at Friday 17th, 02:50 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © mrlaugh

Read 1380 times Last modified on Saturday, 17 November 2012 03:27

More in this category: USA Pre-Race Analysis »