Updates for every Grand Prix Race, with betting tips, odds and offers for the race and qualifying to help you with your betting. Get pre-weekend analysis and after-race assessment, and find all the stats for previous results at the track.

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F1 Grand Prix Races

Sunday, 21 April 2013, by

Bahrain Pre-Race Analysis

Alonso the clear favorite for victory at Bahrain

The bookies have correctly assessed the odds for race winner. Although starting in 3rd, Alonso is in the strongest position, his odds of 2.50 from Bet 365 being a reasonable bet. Rosberg's Mercedes will suffer far higher levels of tire degradation than the Ferrari, forcing him to conserve tires or even make an extra pitstop. Vettel's Red Bull will be strong in the race but the previous races this year suggests Alonso's race pace in the Ferrari is superior. Also, this is a course that the Ferrari typically wins on. Vettel's odds at 3.75 from SkyBet are not terrible and could be worth a small back up bet but focus on Alonso for race winner.

There are two other drivers to watch. Massa starts in 4th on the harder tire. It unclear which tire will be more competitive but Massa should certainly find himself in a strong position as the race progresses. The front runners will pit earlier, giving him clear air to race and choose his moment to pit for fresh tires. Strategically, Massa is in an excellent position in a quick car. His odds of 11.00 from Bet 365 for race winner would be worth betting were it not for the possibility of having to hand the victory over to Alonso. His odds for a podium at 2.83 from Paddy Power is good value for money. Also, Raikkonen starting from 8th may try and emulate Australia, using the superior tire degradation to stop one less time than his rivals. Whilst there is no specific reason to believe he will try this, since he used this plan to win Australia it is a threat and odds of 9.00 from Bet 365 are reasonable. Focusing on Alonso with small back up bets on Massa and Raikkonen is recommended.

The two force India cars start in 5th and 6th. Although looking usually strong, they cannot be recommended for a top 6 finish. Webber and Hamilton only start behind them due to grid penalties and are likely to pass them during the race. Hamilton's odds of a top 6 finish at 2.2 from Bet 365 look like good value, as does Webber's odds for top 6 at 1.72 from Betfair.

Odds above accurate at Saturday 21st, 09.54 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Sunday, 14 April 2013, by

China Pre-Race Analysis

Tyre choice could decide the race
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Raikkonen
3rd
Alonso
4th
Rosberg
5th
Massa
6th
Grosjean
7th
Ricciardo
8th
Button
9th
Vettel
10th
Hulkenberg
11th
di Resta
12th
Perez
13th
Sutil
14th
Maldonado
15th
Vergne
16th
Bottas
17th
Gutierrez
18th
Bianchi
There are a lot of strong competitors at China this year, all with distinct advantages. The Mercedes looks like the quickest, suggesting Hamilton (23/10 (3.30) from Paddy Power) will win. Raikkonen (7/2 (4.50)from Bet 365) is usually very careful with his tyres, the Lotus managed one less pitstop for tyres in Australia and doing so again in China would give him victory. The Ferrari usually has good race pace and Alonso (3/1 (4.00) from SkyBet) usually finishes higher than he starts. Meanwhile, Vettel (11/2 (6.50) from Paddy Power) starts in 9th but on the medium tyres which should give him a substantial advantage. Of these, Vettel has probably the best odds. The front runners will likely pit around lap 6, leaving Button or Vettel in first position. Those front runners will come out in traffic and be held up whilst Vettel has a clear road. Button could ruin his race but the McLaren looks far slower. With so much uncertainty firm predictions are difficult but Vettel looks to have the advantage and has higher odds than his competitors. If placing money on just one driver then Vettel looks like the best odds.

An alternative is betting on multiple drivers. Of all those four strongest for victory, Raikkonen is probably least likely to win because the Lotus looks like it lacks the pace of Ferrari and Mercedes. If betting £10 place £4 on Hamilton to win £13.2, £4 on Alonso to win £16 and £2 on Vettel to win £13, losing £10 is anyone else wins.

Ricciardo's starts a very impressive 7th and has good odds for a top 10 finish at 8/5 (2.50) from Paddy Power. Although likely to be over taken by Vettel, Button and maybe even Hulkenberg, he should still finish around the top 10 on race pace, higher if there are any retirements up front. Meanwhile, Hulkenberg has good odds for a top 6 finish at 589/100 (6.89) Betfair. Starting in 10th on the medium tyre he should have an advantage over those in front of him and is likely to finish well.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 14th, 02.55 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Saturday, 23 March 2013, by

Malaysia Pre-Race Analysis

Rain predicted for Malaysia.
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Vettel
2nd
Massa
3rd
Alonso
4th
Hamilton
5th
Webber
6th
Rosberg
6th
Raikkonen
8th
Button
9th
Sutil
10th
Perez
11th
Grosjean
12th
Hulkenberg
13th
Ricciardo
14th
Gutirrez
15th
di Resta
16th
Maldonado
17th
Vergne
18th
Bottas
Heavy showers are likely for the race, reports the BBC, which typically means an unpredictable race. Although last year Alonso used the rain gain many positions, usually Malaysia is won from pole or top 3. This is the best indication for race winner. Vettel might look strong by taking pole by almost a second, however, he did the same in Australia yet finished 3rd. It looks as though the Red Bull is very quick on a single lap but wears out the tires very quickly. By contrast, the Ferrari appears to handle the tires very well. Also, the Ferrari is typically quick in the rain, suggesting Alonso's odds of 11/5 (3.20) from Blue Square are good value for money as are Massa's odds of 10/1 (11.00) from Blue Square. The key question is how quick the Red Bull is in the rain. It is difficult to determine if Vettel's pace was simply because of the single lap pace of the Red Bull or that it is strong in the rain. On this basis his odds of 11/5 (3.20) from Blue Square are good.

Grid position of race winner since 2001
Grid Position
Number of times
1st
5
2nd
2
3rd
1
7th
1
9h
1
With the top three drivers looking competitive, spread the bets across them. If betting £10 on race winner then place £4 on Vettel to win £12.80, place £5 on Alonso to win £16 and £1 on Massa to win £11, losing £10 if anyone else wins.

Further down the grid there are few promising bets. The Mercedes appears weak on tire degradation so may struggle at Malaysia, meaning Hamilton's odds of 12/5 (3.40) from Paddy Power for a podium are not vastly appealing. The Lotus is good on tire degradation, however, Raikkonen has a three place grid penalty (see ESPN for details) means reaching the podium from 10th is a big ask.

Lower odds betting like top 6 and top 10 finishes are probably best avoided given the likely rain and the resulting unpredictable retirements it will cause. The rain will make it ideal for live betting though.

Odds above accurate at Saturday 23rd, 16.30 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Friday, 22 March 2013, by

Malaysia Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Australia Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Rainstorms possible for qualifying

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Webber
Raikkonen
2nd
Vettel
Webber
3rd
Vettel
Massa
4th
Alonso
Alonso
5th
Rosberg
Webber
6th
Sutil
Grosjean
7th
Massa
Rosberg
8th
di Resta
di Resta
9th
Hamilton
Hamilton
10th
Grosjean
Sutil
11th
Button
Perez
12th
Maldonado
Button
13th
Perez
Hulkenberg
14th
Hulkenberg
Guiterrez
15th
Gutierrez
Vergne
16th
Bottas
Maldonado
17th
Vergne
Ricciardo
18th
Ricciardo
Bianchi
Thundary showers are expected in qualifying, reports the BBC, making a chaotic qualifying likely. We have limited information about wet weather pace of each car. Last year, Alsono seemed quickest, qualifying 1st in both wet qualifying sessions. His odds of 12/1 (13.00) from Bet 365 look reasonable value for money. Also, Button was the fastest when it rained in FP2. Though it seems very unlikely that such a weak car could take pole, he has very high odds of 50/1 (51.00) from Bet 365. On the off chance his wet weather pace in FP2 was genuine he might be worth putting £1 or £2 on. However, with such little information this early in the season and the unpredictability of the rain, keeping bets low is recommended.

Previous Winners
2012
Alonso
2011
Vettel
2010
Vettel
2009
Button
2008
Raikkonen
2007
Alonso
2006
Fisichella
2005
Alonso
2004
Schumacher
2003
Raikkonen
2002
R Schumacher
There is no clear best bet if qualifying is dry. The top 3 drivers were within a 10th of a second in FP2. Vettel has very low odds of 1/1 (2.00) from Blue Square. After pole in Melbourne he may be the strongest contender though his times in free practice are far from dominant, making such odds are not good value for money. Raikkonen's odds of 5/1 (6.00) from Paddy Power also cannot be recommended because Raikkonen is rarely a strong qualifier. Massa is an interesting option, setting a very competitive time in free practice and usually qualifying higher than Alonso lately. His odds of 25/1 (26.00) from SkyBet may be worth £1 or £2. We should have much more information about the pace of each team for China, so keep bets low until then.

Odds above accurate at 22nd March, 21.28 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Qualifying delayed by Melbourne Weather

A disappointing wash-out down-under means we're unlikely to complete qualifying until a few hours before the race. Stay tuned!

After many months of waiting we're still holding out for a good indication of the pace of each team. Betting is more risky than usual. We also need to know how mechanically reliable each car is and how they will handle the tires. Keeping bets low for now is recommended.

Grid position of race winner since 2001
Grid Position
Number of times
1st
6
2nd
2
3rd
1
11th
1
The best evidence we have is previous years. Nine of the last ten years have been won by a driver who qualifies top 3. Restricting bets for race winner to the top three qualifiers is recommended, spreading bets across those three.

The most important thing to do is enjoy the race, trying to learn the potential of each team and driver. After a couple of races there should be good data to start making more accurate predictions on.

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