Updates for every Grand Prix Race, with betting tips, odds and offers for the race and qualifying to help you with your betting. Get pre-weekend analysis and after-race assessment, and find all the stats for previous results at the track.

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F1 Grand Prix Races

Saturday, 13 October 2012, by

Korea Pre-Race Analysis

Red Bulls battle for pole
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Webber
2nd
Vettel
3rd
Hamilton
4th
Alonso
5th
Raikkonen
6th
Massa
7th
Grosjean
8th
Hulkenberg
9th
Rosberg
10th
Schumacher
11th
Button
12th
Perez
13th
Kobayashi
14th
di Resta
15th
Maldonado
16th
Ricciardo
17th
Vergne
18th
Senna
The second race in a row sees an all Red Bull front row although most usually it is Webber who sits in P1. Despite this, Vettel is considered the favourite, with odds of 21/20 (2.05) from Betfair compared with 7/1 (4.50) for Webber to win from Bet 365. Vettel possibly is more likely to win, he has been slightly ahead of Webber most the rest of the weekend, Webber is renowned for his weak starts and it is conceivable that Webber might even hand Vettel the victory on the final lap to support the team. However, even given these factors Webber is still good value for money. He has only been marginally slower, and there’s no guarantee he will have a bad start or hand victory over. If both Red Bulls are very competitive then victory might be decided by some minor factor like which Red Bull driver stays out longer during pit stops or comes out behind traffic. Betting on both drivers is advised. If betting £10, place £7 on Vettel to win £14.35 and £3 on Webber to win £13.50. Alternative, place £5 on Vettel to break even and £5 on Webber to win £22.50.

No other driver looks like to challenge Red Bulls. They have been slightly behind all weekend. Both Hamilton and Alonso have odds of 5/1 (6.00) for victory from SkyBet which is only slightly behind the substantially faster Webber. Both of them are likely to challenge for the podium position behind the Red Bulls with, both having odds of 1/1 (2.00) from Betfair. Alonso is the better bet given the reliability of the Ferrari and that he was ahead of Hamilton in free practice.

Odds above accurate at Saturday 13th, 23.44 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © nic_r

Friday, 12 October 2012, by

Korea Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Both the strongest qualifiers top free practice
Free Practice Results
FP1
FP2
Hamilton
Vettel
Alonso
Webber
Webber
Alonso
Massa
Button
Vettel
Schumacher
Schumacher
Massa
Rosberg
Rosberg
Grosjean
Hamilton
di Resta
Hulkenberg
Button
Raikkonen
Raikkonen
Grosjean
Maldonado
Senna
Bianchi
di Resta
Kobayashi
Kobayashi
Perez
Perez
Ricciardo
Vergne
Vergne
Ricciardo
Bottas
Maldonado
Although Hamilton toped FP1, the chances are that Vettel will dominate Korea in 2012. He won in 2011 and was leading the race in 2010 before retirement from mechanical failure. Although he was only 5th in FP1, during the high speed runs both Red Bulls held a good lead over their competitors, with Hamilton only managing 8th. This gives Vettel the substantially lowest odds but this also means Hamilton and Webber have much higher odds. Vettel’s odds of 7/10 (1.70) for pole from Blue Square are not bad but Webber was within a 10th of a second and has odds of 61/10 (7.10) from Betfair for pole. Placing a main bet on Vettel and a back up bet on Webber is advised. If betting £10, place £7 on Vettel to see a return of £12.6 and £2 on Webber to see a return of £14.2. The interesting question is if Hamilton can challenge them but based on the high speed runs in FP2 it looks doubtful. Meanwhile, pole position from anyone else is difficult to imagine.

For some early bets on the race itself it is worth noting that both the Mercedes qualified above both Lotus driver in FP1 and FP2. Mercedes have had some good result in Korea despite a retirement each race, with Schumacher coming 4th in 2010 and Rosberg running 5th before accidentally running wide and coming 8th. Although taking podiums would be highly ambitious, both drivers have very good odds for a top six finish. Rosberg had (4.33) from Paddy Power and Schumacher had (4.50) from Bet 365 , both of which are good value for money.

Odds above accurate at Friday 12th, 20.38 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © Ryosuke Yagi

Thursday, 11 October 2012, by

Japan Pre-Race Analysis

First Red Bull front row in 2012
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Vettel
2nd
Webber
3rd
Kobayashi
4th
Grosjean
5th
Perez
6th
Alonso
6th
Raikkonen
8th
Button
9th
Hamilton
10th
Massa
11th
di Resta
12th
Maldonado
13th
Rosberg
14th
Ricciardo
15th
Hulkenberg
16th
Senna
17th
Kovalainen
18th
Glock

The Red Bulls look like the only serious contenders for victory at Suzuka this year. Vettel was almost a second quicker than the 3rd place man and Webber was not far behind at 0.7 of a second faster than Button. The Red Bull’s also showed strong race pace during the practise sessions and the nearest driver in a McLaren or a Ferrari is a further four places behind Webber. It is very difficult to see how Alonso, Button or Hamilton could challenge for victory. The biggest danger the Red Bulls face is the temperamental nature of both Sauber and Lotus. They show much more variation than most teams, with some tracks that the car seems perfect on and other it simply struggles on. If either team finds that Japan is one of their preferred circuits then either could pull off a surprise victory. However, with passing so difficult at Suzuka should also the Red Bulls to fend off Lotus and Sauber if either has superior pace although they are certainly worth watching for live betting.

Vettel is the firm favourite of the Red Bulls at 53/100 (1.53) from Blue Square whilst Webber has odds of 13/2 (7.50) from Betfair. Whilst Vettel is rightly the favourite, Webber should not be completely ruled out. Vettel seems prone to mechanical failure so Webber is a good back up bet. Also, high tire degradation could leave opportunities open for Webber if Vettel misjudges when to come in and of course Webber could challenge on his own merits. Spreading bets on race winner across both Vettel and Webber is wise. If betting £10, place £8 on Vettel to win £12.24 and £2 on Webber to win £15 whilst losing £10 if anyone else wins.

Both Vettel and Webber are likely to take the podium but with so many other strong cars behind them deciding who takes 3rd place is difficult and so betting on podium finishes is probably bet avoided. Top six finishes are a more interesting bet. Three of the cars in the top six all have usually high odds, with Kobayashi at59/50 (2.18) from Betfair, Grosjean at 63/100 (1.63) from Bet 365 and Perez at 4/5 (1.80) from SkyBet. These odds are usually low since Alonso, Raikkonen, Button and Hamilton are directly behind them. However, of those four drivers only Button is out of place after the grid penalty, the others genuinely seemed to lack race pace. Starting in 3rd Kobayashi seems an excellent bet, Perez not a bad one but the crash prone Grosjean needs higher odds to be worthwhile.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 07th, 01.15 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © Ryosuke Yagi

Thursday, 11 October 2012, by

Japanese Pre-Weekend Analysis

The 15th Race of 2012, Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka.

Previous Winners
2011
Button
2010
Vettel
2009
Vettel
2008
Alonso
2007
Hamilton
2006
Alonso
2005
Raikkonen
2004
Schumacher
2003
Barrichello
2002
Schumacher
Hamilton is still the favorite for Japan despite Vettel's win in Singapore. With four pole positions in four races for McLaren, they would have almost certainly had four wins also were it not for Hamilton's gearbox. He kept an steady gap to Vettel throughout the race and the safety car would have prevented Vettel's extremely slim chance of jumping Hamilton in the second round of pitstops. Victory is by no means guaranteed for Hamilton but he currently looks almost as strong as Vettel did in 2011.

Suzuka has seen many victories from pole, however, unlike many circuits victories has often come from much further down the field. On this basis betting on someone who qualifies outside the top three could yield a substantial profit. It does not seem likely that anyone could start lower down the field and also beat Hamilton but podiums will certainly be possible for low qualifiers. Raikkonen especially should be watched closely given his poor qualifying but excellent race pace.

Button could be an interesting wild card. Considerably weaker at qualifying than Hamilton he usually will have difficulty beating his team mate. However, with Japan having so much opportunity for weaker qualifiers this could be one of his better opportunity to take victory. There is, however, a concern that he will move over and give Hamiliton victory if Button is first and Hamilton second.

Odds above accurate at Friday 6th of October, 01.02 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Grid position of race winner since 2008
Grid Position
Number of times
1st
6
2nd
1
5th
1
17th
1
Image © nhayashida

Sunday, 23 September 2012, by

Singapore Pre Race Analysis

4th Pole Position for McLaren in a row
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Maldonado
3rd
Vettel
4th
Button
5th
Alonso
6th
di Resta
6th
Webber
8th
Grosjean
9th
Schumacher
10th
Rosberg
11th
Hulkenberg
12th
Raikkonen
13th
Massa
14th
Perez
15th
Ricciardo
16th
Vergne
17th
Senna
18th
Kobayashi

Despite Vettel looking stronger throughout the practise sessions once again a McLaren has qualified on pole. The previous three races this season saw McLaren win from pole and the previous three races at Singapore saw the pole sitter take victory. On this basis Hamilton is the clear favourite and his odds of 67/100 (1.67) from SkyBet. Little money can be made on Hamilton but there will much loss if anyone else wins. There are far higher odds found a few places down and spreading your money around is wise. Place £10 on Hamilton, £5 on Vettel at 19/5 (4.80) from Betfair and £1 on Maldonado at 16/1 (17.00) from Bet 365 and you'd make break even if Hamilton wins, make £14 if Vettel wins and £7 if Maldonado wins, though lose £16 if none win. The main danger with this plan is the first corner and how Maldonado handles it. On this basis there's actually substantially more uncertainty to Singapore this year on a circuit that is normally fairly predictable.

Maldonado is probably a good bet for a podium at 11/4 (3.75) from Bet 365 given how difficult overtaking is at Singapore. Raikkonen is also a wild card for a podium at 9/1 (10.00) from Bet 365. Although down in 12th, Raikkonen can choose to run the harder tire and go on a long first stint or even stop one less time. With the pitlane being the longest of the season at Singapore he could make many places up on the first round of pit stops. Finally, Grosjean to finish top 6 when starting in 8th at 109/50 (3.18) from Betfair is very good value.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 23rd, 11.15 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © TimoStudios

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