Get the latest F1 betting news - we bring you all the important developments: changes in the driver lineup, which tracks are on the calendar, regulation changes and mechanical developments. Find out first, and get your bets on before the odds start falling!

Latest F1 Betting News

Saturday, 27 October 2012

India Pre-Race Analysis

Vettel set to win from pole

Qualifying Results
1st
Vettel
2nd
Webber
3rd
Hamilton
4th
Button
5th
Alonso
6th
Massa
7th
Raikkonen
8th
Perez
9th
Maldonado
10th
Rosberg
11th
Grosjean
12th
Hulkenberg
13th
Senna
14th
Schumacher
15th
Ricciardo
16th
di Resta
17th
Kobayashi
18th
Vergne
Vettel adds another pole position to the record and looks likely collect another win also. His odds are extremely low at 2/5 (1.40) from SkyBet. Although Vettel is most likely to win, betting on other drivers is advised given how little profit can be made from Vettel. Webber has odds of 7/1 (8.00) from Blue Square despite being only a 50th of a second slower than Vettel. If Webber can get a reasonable start then he should be a factor and with such high odds is worth a small bet.

Although Vettel looks to have the advantage, the top 6 cars are separated by only half a second so the fight for the podium should be extremely competitive. Hamilton has odds of 1/1 (2.00) whilst Button and Alonso both have odds of 13/10 (2.30) for the podium, all from Paddy Power. With the pace so similar it probably is a fight between Hamilton who is the highest up of those three drivers and with Alonso who usually finishes higher than he finishes. There is little to choose between them but with higher odds and more reliability Alonso is better value for money. Perez starts in 8th in a car which usually finishes further up than it qualifies so 3/2 (2.50) for a top 6 finish from Bet 365 is highly recommended. Finally, odds of 2/1 (3.00) for Senna to score points from Blue Square are reasonable given how strong he looked during parts of free practice and Q1.

Odds above accurate at Friday 27th, 20:04 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © nhayashida

Friday, 26 October 2012

India Pre-Qualifying Analysis

Vettel continues his dominance in India

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Vettel
Vettel
2nd
Button
Webber
3rd
Alonso
Alonso
4th
Hamilton
Rosberg
5th
Webber
Raikkonen
6th
Rosberg
Hamilton
7th
Massa
Button
8th
Schumacher
Hulkenberg
9th
Ricciardo
Grosjean
10th
Raikkonen
Senna
11th
Bottas
di Resta
12th
di Resta
Perez
13th
Kobayashi
Schumacher
14th
Hulkenberg
Ricciardo
15th
Grosjean
Massa
16th
Maldonado
Kobayashi
17th
Vergne
Maldonado
18th
Petrov
Vergne
F1 returns for the second India GP and for the second year running Red Bull look like the team to beat. Vettel heads both free practice sessions, Webber was second in FP2 and the Red Bull has clearly been the fastest car for some races now. The main chance of upsetting this trend could have been Alonso using the experimental exhaust that Massa put to good use in Korea. The Ferrari is clearly extremely competitive with Alonso finishing 3rd in both free practice sessions but it doesn’t look like he has the pace to challenge the Red Bulls.

Vettel is the firm favourite in the battle for pole and his extremely low odds of 2/5 (1.40) from Betfair reflect this. By contrast, Webber has 5/1 (6.00) from Paddy Power for pole which is incredibly good value for money. Vettel has only had one pole position in the last eight races, exactly the same number as pole positions that Webber has taken. This is only the third race since the Red Bull became the dominant car and both Red Bull drivers have each taken the 1st place slot on the grid in those two races. Also, Webber was only a 10th behind Vettel in FP2. Although arguably Vettel does have superior pace a small better on Webber for pole is worthwhile since he has such high odds. Although Alonso looks too weak for pole he appears to have the edge over the McLarens, finishing 3 tenths ahead of Hamilton in FP2. Odds of 1/1(2.00) for Alonso to qualify top 3 from Betfair is a good bet.

Rosberg was running strong in both free practice sessions and may have a successful race after some disappointing recent performances. Odds of 9/2 (5.50) for a top 6 finish from Blue Square and 1/1 (2.00) for a points finish from Bet 365 are both good value given that the Mercedes suits the long straights in India. Also, although Alonso probably has the edge, Hamilton’s odds of 7/5 (2.40) from Blue Square for a podium are very high for such a competitive car.

Odds above accurate at Friday 26th, 23:15 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © iCena

Top 10 can be a difficult bet to make money on. Generally the odds for top 10 are less value for money than other bets. Money can be made from low risk low odds betting but long term the risks are high because even the best cars occasionally retire. The two drivers with the best results are 48 points finishes in 54 races for both Webber and Alonso since 2010. Meanwhile, Raikkonen has scored points in all races this year bar one, so even odds of 1.15 are reasonable value for money. Vettel, Hamilton and Button usually face too many reliability issues or driver errors to see a pay off from long term top 10 bets.

There are many better bets for many of drivers further down the field as some either finish far higher than 10th or do not finish at all. Grosjean has finished all but two race this season in 6th or above or below 10th. One of Maldonado's three points finishes was also a win whilst almost half of Perez's points finishes were also podiums. Better money can be made on other bets than top 10 for these drivers.

Focus on Senna, Koybashi, Di Resta and Hulkenberg but only if the odds are better than 2.0. Earlier in the season di Resta was best for points finishes but recently Hulkenberg and has been better than the rest.

Podiums are much easier to pick than a race but the low odds reflect this, making this a difficult bet to make money on. It can be a good best if two cars both look equally good for victory, more money might be made an betting on both for a podium than both for race winner. With only three space on the podium look elsewhere for low odds low payoff betting.

Podiums can sometimes be good for drivers who statically does well but have struggled in recent races so are being undervalued. Going from a bad phase to race winner is sometimes ambitious so betting on an undervalued podium finish is wiser.

Try and focus on teams who probably will not win but can realistically finish well. Until halfway through 2012 Lotus were especially good bets for podiums, finishing top 3 far higher than their odds would have indicated. However, they now look to have dropped off the pace. Likewise, at the start of the season Mercedes looked promising but have dropped off. The main drivers to watch are Webber, Alonso, Hamilton and Perez. Currently, everyone expects Vettel to do well so currently has relatively low odds. Webber is generally undervalued and with the Red Bull looking so strong he is currently worth betting on. With the Red Bulls looking untouchable the final step on the podium is probably a fight between Alonso and Hamilton. Alonso has made the podium in over half the races this year so is often worth betting on if running well. Hamilton only has six podiums this year so is worth a reserve bet but focus on Alonso. Finally, Perez's pace has yielded him three podiums this, often from very low down positions. The Sauber is quite temperamental, suiting some tracks very well and other struggling for top 10 so Perez is best bet on during live betting.

With the Red Bulls back on the pace and a 77 point lead over McLaren with only 172 points left to grab, only multiple retirements by the Red Bulls could give McLaren a chance. Betting elsewhere is heavily advised.

Page 1 of 3