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Paddy Power

Paddy's a generous man

 

Paddy Power offers a very attractive introductory deal for anyone willing to regularly place large amounts of money (£50+) on a single bet. Place down a bet and they will give you another free bet of the same value, up to £50. Place another 4 bets down and you'll receive another free bet equal to the average amount you bet across those 4 bets, up to £50. After this, you get a free bet every time you make 5 bets, the value of the free betting being average of those 5 bets and no greater than £50. The process is continues until you have had 5 free bets. If you are willing to put £50 on each bet you'll eventually have had £250 in free bets. These free bets expire after 30 days.

Paddy Power covers all the main F1 bets, the championships, race win, poll, podium, top 6 and top 10. Bets like if there will be safety car or how many cars will finish are covered by Paddy Power. The website also covers many different sports than F1.

         
 

Bet 365

Matching you for £200

Bet365 has an excellent introductory deal if you plan to bet heavily. However much you originally deposit Bet365 will match, up until £200. However, before you can withdraw your free bet earnings you must rollover your deposit and its matched total 3 times. This basically means that you must have bet £1200 to claim your the winnings from your free £200. If you originally deposit less then you need to bet far less to claim your winnings from the free bet. For example, if you deposit £50 originally you only must bet £300 to claim the earnings from your £50 free bet. This rollover requirement must be met within 90 days and is available to customers from the UK or Ireland.

The website covers all the main F1 bets and many other sports. The odds can be displayed as decimal, fractional or American at the click of a button. The Website is especially good for the iPhone since no apps are required.

         
skybet.com  

Literally, a free bet!

Unlike most most 'free bets', Sky Bet offers a genuine rarity, a free bet that requires no deposit. Although only £5 this alone is worth the short sign up process. Deposit £5 and you'll then get an additional £5 free bet deposited.

SkyBet offers much more than all the main F1 bets. Alongside a full range of sports, the website has links to Sky Poker, which does internet poker and the online casino called Sky Vegas. The website can display fractional or decimal odds and includes an online betting calculator. SkyBet has many other unique advantages, including occasional free bets and Sky TV discounts as part of loyalty offers.

         
 

Blue Square

£25 matched bet with no strings attached

Blue Square offer a very simple deal, bet £25 and they match it with deposit of £25. You can withdraw the winnings straight away so no further betting is required.

They cover all the main F1 bets and many other sport. They also have online games and slot machines. Website can display odds as fractional, decimal or American and has a bet calculator.

         
 

The best odds and a £25 no risk bet

Betfair offer a risk free first bet. If your bet loses then Betfair will refund the loss of your first bet up to £25, depositing however much you lost into your account.

Betfair covers more F1 bets than most other bookies with all the main bets and many more unique ones like betting on quickest in the practise sessions. They cover many other sports and have poker, casino and slot machines.

The main appeal of Betfair is that they have a betting exchange alongside standard betting. Users can place whatever odds they wish in the betting exchange and other users choose if to match those odds. Alongside betting on a driver to win, users can bet against drivers by making a lay bet. A successful lay bet pays off when someone else makes a bet which is unsuccessful. However much you put down on the lay bet you make in profit. However, if their bet is successful then you get however much laid down back but you then lose however much you bet multiplied by the lay odds. For example, imagine Hamilton had 2.5 (in decimal) to win and you laid £10 against him. You make £10 if he does not win but lose £15 if he does win.

The Betfair betting exchange quite often has the best odds available of than other websites. However, Betfair take 5% of profit from a market though this can be reduced through regular betting. Also, how much you can bet on the betting exchange is limited by how much

Podiums are much easier to pick than a race but the low odds reflect this, making this a difficult bet to make money on. It can be a good best if two cars both look equally good for victory, more money might be made an betting on both for a podium than both for race winner. However, with Lotus challenging for podiums regularly there are currently seven cars who realistically can regularly reach the podium, meaning only bet on odds above 2.50 for these drivers. This makes podiums impossible for low risk, low pay off betting.

Podiums can sometimes be good for drivers who statically does well but have struggled in recent races so are being undervalued. Going from a bad phase to race winner is sometimes ambitious so betting on an undervalued podium finish is wiser.

Try and focus on teams who probably will not win but can realistically finish well. Until halfway through 2012 Lotus were especially good bets for podiums, finishing top 3 far higher than their odds would have indicated. However, they now look like regular challengers for victory so their odds for a podium are fairly low. Mercedes are worth watching. They have only taken three podiums this year but probably deserved another at Monoco whilst Schumacher has qualified top 3 or top 4 five times only to retire from bad luck. However, the team usually does better in qualifying than the race so only bet on a podium if they qualify top 3 and back it up with a top 6 bet in case they lose positions during the race. Perez is the main driver to watch for high odds podium bets, having three times made the podium this season and could have in Germany except for a grid penalty and mechanical issues in the race. With odds usually above 15.00 for a podium much money can be made through his skill at preserving the tires.

Race winner is probably the most popular bet but not necessarily the best. Although the odds are usually higher than other bets race, betting on the winner is much more specific, only paying off if the car ends in one specific position unlike bets on podium, top six or top ten. This specificity means that all the relevant factors have far more influence; being confident that a driver will finish in 4th position rather than 5th does not matter when betting on top six but being confident a car will finish 1st rather than 2nd is precisely what betting on race winner is all about. Betting on race winner is much more of a classic gamble than the safer lower odds betting like top 6 or top 10. Some people prefer the gamble, some people prefer safer lower pay off betting but mixing the two is the best.

Generally, most race victories come from 3rd position or higher. Try and get a bet upon each of the top three qualifiers for that race. Aim to break even if one or maybe two of the top 3 drivers wins and then place a higher bet upon which of the top three you think will win or has the best odds. For example, at Silverstone 2012 Alonso was on poll with 2/1 (3.00) for victory, Webber second at 5/1 (6.00) and Schumacher third at 11/1 (12.0). If you put £10 on each then an Alonso win sees you break even, Webber makes you £40 and Schumacher pays off a handsome £120. Details of such bets will be found on the main blog after qualifying. Some courses vary from the norm, with some courses only seeing victories from 1st or 2nd on the grid. Details for specific courses can be found on the stats page. Also, some drivers only win from high qualifying positions whereas other drivers sometimes win from much further down the field. Details from the last decade can be found on the pre-weekend blog post. Finally, some drivers prefer certain tracks and this will be noted in the pre-weekend blog post.

Prior to the qualifying and the practice sessions drivers will have higher odds than after the grid order is known. Taking advantage of this uncertainty is advised in limited quantities. Consider how a driver has performed here before and consider his current form. Also, factor in which courses suit which cars. All this is discussed on the pre-weekend blog post. Placing a small amount of money on a few drivers who the statistics favour or who have unreasonably low odds is wise. If these drivers then qualify badly little money is lost but if one ends up on poll you have money on him at far higher odds than are available after qualifying.

Red Bull have usually been strongest for victory in the previous few years. By contrast, this year after Hungary, Red Bull, McLaren and Ferrari have three victories each. Despite this Red Bull are still arguably the most powerful overall team. There reliability is only beaten by Ferrari, they make fewer pit stop errors than most top teams, they are considerably quicker than Ferrari and perform better in the rain than McLaren. However, victory is far from certain and they are only a good bet if qualifying well, Vettel having never won from below 3rd and Webber from below 2nd on the grid. Hamilton is only marginally weaker overall but on any course suiting the McLaren Hamilton is a better bet than the Red Bulls. Alonso is the driver out performing his car, leading the world championship with a car slower than the McLaren, the Red Bull and maybe even the Lotus. His victories this year have usually come from qualifying high due to the rain or because some competitors crashed out when he qualifies relatively low in the dry. Only bet on Alonso for races where rain is likely though he is certainly one to watch for live betting.

Neither Lotus has won yet but with plenty of podiums a victory this season is likely. Their major problem is weak qualifying as they have arguably the best race pace of the field. Their odds often decrease after qualifying because of this though really they need to qualify at least top four for victory to be anything but a high odds bet. Their strong race speed makes them ones to watch for live betting. For Mercedes, Rosberg has won once this season and Schumacher has qualifying top 4 in over half the races this season. Another victory might be possible but after a series of weak results over the summer only bet on victory if they qualify top 3. However, since they usually do better in qualifying than the race it might be best watching them for live betting to see if they can retain the pace rather than betting heavily on them even after qualifying well. Perez has looked very impressive at times this season, two podiums and potentially a victory in Malaysia. However, he is too much an outsider for victory currently but is one to watch for live betting. Maldonado won in Spain but since then failed to score a single point. Despite very high odds he is not worth betting on for victory unless he qualifies top three.

The 10th Race of 2012, German Grand Prix at Hockenheim

Previous Winners
2011
Nurburgring
2010
Alonso
2009
Nurburgring
2008
Hamilton
2007
Nurburgring
2006
Schumacher
2005
Alonso
2004
Schumacher
2003
Montoya
2002
Schumacher

The German GP alternates each year between Hockenheim and Nurbergring. F1 last visited Hockenheim back in 2010, so there is much less data about past performances than usual. The 2010 race was dominated by Ferrari with Vettel 3rd and the McLarens after him. Alonso and Hamilton have won twice here but no other current driver than Schumucher has been victorious here.

Hockenheim is a high speed course so expect the Mercedes to be strong and Red Bull to be less competitive than usual. The sweeping section of track between turn three and turn four is especially hard upon tires, working to the advantage of Button and Perez who usually get more life out their tires than most drivers. This is the first race at Hockenheim since Pirelli became the tire manufacturer. The tire degradation might mean drivers will spend more time on the harder tire, to the disadvantage of Ferrari who cannot get the hard tire to work well.

Seven of the last eight races have been won from the front row of the grid. Whilst the tire situation might change this it probably is not worth gambling upon. Restricting bets on race winner to the drivers on pole and P2 is recommended. Wait until qualifying has taken place before making bets on victory unless you are confident about who will take P1 and P2 on the grid.

Hamilton looks best for pole position. Having set the fastest time in qualifying an equal number of times as Vettel this season, both look on equal form. However, the Red Bull is slightly hampered by the high speed nature of Hockemheim whilst Hamilton has a good record here. Hamilton has odds of 5/1 (6.00) from William Hill and Vettel has odds of 2/1 (3.00) from Ladbrokes. With double the odds of Vettel, Hamilton is by far better value for money.

For an outsider bet, Perez for a podium might pay off. Both Perez's podiums came at high speed circuits and Perez's speciality of looking after his tires will give him a major edge is tire degradation becomes an important factor. 32/1 (33.00) from Ladbrokes are excellent odds.

Odds above accurate at Friday 20th, 01.12 GMT. Click to see live odds.

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