Get the latest F1 betting news - we bring you all the important developments: changes in the driver lineup, which tracks are on the calendar, regulation changes and mechanical developments. Find out first, and get your bets on before the odds start falling!

Latest F1 Betting News

Championship open after Vettel sent to back of grid
Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Webber
3rd
Maldonado
4th
Raikkonen
5th
Button
6th
Alonso
7th
Rosberg
8th
Massa
9th
Grosjean
10th
Hulkenberg
11th
Perez
12th
di Resta
13th
Schumacher
14th
Senna
15th
Kobayashi
16th
Ricciardo
17th
Vergne
18th
Kovalainen
Hamilton and Vettel looked equal throughout the weekend and although they would have had Webber between them it looked as though race day would see them closely duel. However, Vettel has been demoted to the back of grid for being unable to provide a one litre fuel sample. This shakes up both the race and the championship.

Hamilton is the clear favourite to win with odds of 14/25 (1.57) from Blue Square. Certainly Hamilton looks very strong but far from invincible. During free practise two Vettel was quicker and crucially free practice occurs in the same conditions as the race, unlike the other free practice sessions. Webber came 4th in FP2 but appeared to have a cooling issue so should be quicker during the race. With odds of 22/5 (5.40) from Betfair Webber is reasonable odds, having a very competitive car and with the McLaren being quite prone to mechanical failure. For an outside bet, Raikkonen has odds of 31/1 (32.00) from Betfair. 4th is the joint highest he has qualified this year and generally the Lotus is faster during the race than in qualifying. Also, the Lotus usually performs well in warm weather. A comparison could be made with Hungary, also a very warm track that is also resembles a street circuit; Hamilton looked dominant the entire weekend yet both Lotus drivers came very close to winning. A small bet on Raikkonen for victory is unlikely to pay out but would yield a nice profit if it did.

Raikkonen also looks good for a podium with odds of 2/1 (3.00) from Blue Square. Alonso has odds of 1/1 for a podium from Paddy Power but with Yas Marina being such a difficult course to pass on this is only likely if he gets a good start so probably best watch him for live betting.

Finally, after this race Alonso and Vettel will probably be on about the same number of points. Although Vettel is probably more likely to score higher in the final two races, Alonso’s odds of 9/4 (3.25) from Paddy Power are good value for money given Alonso’s near perfect reliability and ability to score well every race.

Odds above accurate at Sunday 04th, 10.55 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © JiteshJagadish

2012 has seen substantially more diverse race results than 2011 or 2010. During those two years, Hamilton, Button, Vettel, Webber and Alonso took all the victories and 89% of the podium places. This year, Mercedes and Williams have won races whilst Lotus and Sauber have reached the podium and could have taken a victory.

Despite this, five drivers have broken away as realistic contenders for the championship. Alonso is leading the championship and is the current favourite. Many consider him the current greatest driver, this may be true but it is questionable if he has the car to take the world championship this year. Alonso's win in Malaysia was due to Hamilton's unlucky slow pitstop whilst Alonso would not have won Valencia without Vettel retiring from mechanical issues. Without that luck, Alonso would currently be around 3rd in the championship. His win in Germany was well deserved but there is little reason to believe he would have won without poll position. That was only the second time in two years he started from P1 on the grid, the other being the previous race at Silverstone and both were reliant for on rain for poll.

It is very difficult not to imagine the other drivers slowly catching Alonso as the season progresses, the only question is if he has built enough of a lead to take the world championship. Since the championship will probably go down to the last few races, the chances are Alonso's odds will increase as other drivers catch him. Waiting for his current odds of Betfair to increase is advised.

Although Alonso is between 40 and 50 points ahead of Hamilton, Webber, Vettel and Raikkonen it is possible for any of them to catch up. If any one of those drivers won the next two races whilst Alonso finishes no higher than 8th then they'd be slightly above, equal or just behind Alonso. Alternatively, if Webber or Vettel finished an average of 5 points ahead for the remaining 9 races they would take the championship. The same is true if Hamilton or Raikkonen finished an average of 6 points ahead of Alonso. Alonso taking the championship is far from assured.

The major obstacle to anyone overtaking Alonso is that so many drivers are competing for that top spot. Vettel, Webber, Alonso and Raikkonen keep taking points from one another and even one driver does rises above the others it is extremely difficult to determine which will.

A few races into 2012 and Hamilton had a couple of pole positions, good race performance and looked favourite for the championship. Mistakes in the pit lane and unlucky penalties cost him race victories but it looked as though if Hamilton could have a few incident free races he'd probably be leading the championship. Unfortunately, Hamilton then did not matched that early performance, with only one (disqualified) pole position and one no podiums beyond his win in the seven races prior to Germany. The upgrade package introduced in Germany helped him take to true dominance at Hungary with victory, fastest in all three qualifying sessions and two of the three practice sessions. With so many poll positions this season and such strong race pace Hamilton has an equal chance of taking the championship as Vettel but considerably higher odds at 6.5 from Betfair.

There is very little between both Red Bull drivers currently. Vettel has more poll positions but Webber has more wins and more championship points. Both drivers have improved since the first three races, Vettel found his skill at setting pole laps again whilst Webber has stopped consistently coming 4th and instead won races. Being so evenly matched currently, both drivers will likely go into the final races of the year neck and neck. Neither driver has an edge over the other but Webber has odds nearly four times as high at 16.00 from Betfair. compared to Vettel at 4.23 from Betfair. A bet on Webber for world champion is by far better value for money. Webber has lookes far stronger than his odds suggest. He won Monoco, had a DRS failure at Valencia when the Red Bull otherwise looked very strong, won Silverstone, gear box change meant a grid penalty at Germany, team error meant he missed Q3 in Hungary when he was quickest in free practice 3 then penalty at Belgium from another gear box change. His recent spate of bad results is due to back luck so is not an indication of poor potential. 16.00 is excellent value for money.

The big outsider is Raikkonen. After two year of McLaren, Red Bull and Ferrari competing for the championship another team is mounting a challenge. Raikkonen looked good at the start of the season and has recently had a series of strong performances, finishing top 5 including two podiums in all the last four races. Having been so close to a win this season, a race victory this year looks likely fairly likely. However, there is good reason to believe the odds are against Raikkonen taking the championship. The Lotus performs well on warmer circuits so has had an advantage over the summer that will fade as the autumn sets in. Also, Raikkonen has only had one incident this year, failing to make Q2 in Australia. Beyond this Raikkonen has avoided more than his share of misfortune of mechanical errors or race incidents (though some would argue that avoiding problems on the track is due to Raikkonen's careful driving). If the Lotus slows down on the colder tracks and if Raikkonen starts having some bad luck then odds of 11.00 from Betfair is not good value for money.

The best odds are currently Hamilton and Webber whilst waiting for Alonso's odds to increase is also worthwhile.

Qualifying is is difficult to predict compared with the race since all cars start equal unlike the race where you know who is close to the front. Paying attention to the statistics is more important for qualifying than any other bet but usefully the statistics are far clearer for qualifying than other bets.

Four important facts stand out. Red Bull took 87% of poll positions across 2010 and 2011, the majority of which went to Vettel. Hamilton has more polls so far in 2012 than 2010 and 2011 combined. Alonso has only two poll positions in the last two years and both came in the rain. Only three other drivers have taken poll in the last two years, Rosberg, Heidfeld and Schumacher (note that promotion due to penalties are not usually counted by the bookies so Maldonado never took poll in Monoco).

Focus on Hamilton and Vettel, comparing their odds, how they perform in the practice sessions, if the car suits the circuit and how they usually perform on the circuit All of this is discussed in pre-qualifying blog post. Webber often has odds that are worth an outside bet but only on course he usually does well on. Alonso is always worth a bet if it rains during qualifying so follow the weather or use live betting. Mercedes are high odds, high pay off bets but there a substantial chance they will see no more poll positions this season. Beyond this, never bet on any other car for poll.

Some bookies offer betting on top 3 qualifiers and top 10 qualifiers (who reaches Q3 or Qualifying 3). With three 3rd positions and a poll from qualifying, this is a good bet for Schumacher. Webber has been top 3 four times and twice just missed out with a 4th place so this is probably a better bet than poll. For top 10 qualifiers focus on cars who have to fight to make it into Q3 such as William, Sauber and Force India. Maldonado and Hulkenberg have been most successful, both reaching Q3 five times this season.

Race winner is probably the most popular bet but not necessarily the best. Although the odds are usually higher than other bets race, betting on the winner is much more specific, only paying off if the car ends in one specific position unlike bets on podium, top six or top ten. This specificity means that all the relevant factors have far more influence; being confident that a driver will finish in 4th position rather than 5th does not matter when betting on top six but being confident a car will finish 1st rather than 2nd is precisely what betting on race winner is all about. Betting on race winner is much more of a classic gamble than the safer lower odds betting like top 6 or top 10. Some people prefer the gamble, some people prefer safer lower pay off betting but mixing the two is the best.

Generally, most race victories come from 3rd position or higher. Try and get a bet upon each of the top three qualifiers for that race. Aim to break even if one or maybe two of the top 3 drivers wins and then place a higher bet upon which of the top three you think will win or has the best odds. For example, at Silverstone 2012 Alonso was on poll with 2/1 (3.00) for victory, Webber second at 5/1 (6.00) and Schumacher third at 11/1 (12.0). If you put £10 on each then an Alonso win sees you break even, Webber makes you £40 and Schumacher pays off a handsome £120. Details of such bets will be found on the main blog after qualifying. Some courses vary from the norm, with some courses only seeing victories from 1st or 2nd on the grid. Details for specific courses can be found on the stats page. Also, some drivers only win from high qualifying positions whereas other drivers sometimes win from much further down the field. Details from the last decade can be found on the pre-weekend blog post. Finally, some drivers prefer certain tracks and this will be noted in the pre-weekend blog post.

Prior to the qualifying and the practice sessions drivers will have higher odds than after the grid order is known. Taking advantage of this uncertainty is advised in limited quantities. Consider how a driver has performed here before and consider his current form. Also, factor in which courses suit which cars. All this is discussed on the pre-weekend blog post. Placing a small amount of money on a few drivers who the statistics favour or who have unreasonably low odds is wise. If these drivers then qualify badly little money is lost but if one ends up on poll you have money on him at far higher odds than are available after qualifying.

Red Bull have usually been strongest for victory in the previous few years. By contrast, this year after Hungary, Red Bull, McLaren and Ferrari have three victories each. Despite this Red Bull are still arguably the most powerful overall team. There reliability is only beaten by Ferrari, they make fewer pit stop errors than most top teams, they are considerably quicker than Ferrari and perform better in the rain than McLaren. However, victory is far from certain and they are only a good bet if qualifying well, Vettel having never won from below 3rd and Webber from below 2nd on the grid. Hamilton is only marginally weaker overall but on any course suiting the McLaren Hamilton is a better bet than the Red Bulls. Alonso is the driver out performing his car, leading the world championship with a car slower than the McLaren, the Red Bull and maybe even the Lotus. His victories this year have usually come from qualifying high due to the rain or because some competitors crashed out when he qualifies relatively low in the dry. Only bet on Alonso for races where rain is likely though he is certainly one to watch for live betting.

Neither Lotus has won yet but with plenty of podiums a victory this season is likely. Their major problem is weak qualifying as they have arguably the best race pace of the field. Their odds often decrease after qualifying because of this though really they need to qualify at least top four for victory to be anything but a high odds bet. Their strong race speed makes them ones to watch for live betting. For Mercedes, Rosberg has won once this season and Schumacher has qualifying top 4 in over half the races this season. Another victory might be possible but after a series of weak results over the summer only bet on victory if they qualify top 3. However, since they usually do better in qualifying than the race it might be best watching them for live betting to see if they can retain the pace rather than betting heavily on them even after qualifying well. Perez has looked very impressive at times this season, two podiums and potentially a victory in Malaysia. However, he is too much an outsider for victory currently but is one to watch for live betting. Maldonado won in Spain but since then failed to score a single point. Despite very high odds he is not worth betting on for victory unless he qualifies top three.

After a very long wait Hamilton takes another victory.

Race Results
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Raikkonen
3rd
Grosjean
4th
Vettel
5th
Alonso
6th
Button
7th
Senna
8th
Webber
9th
Massa
10th
Rosberg
11th
Hulkenberg
12th
di Resta
13th
Maldonado
14th
Perez
15th
Ricciardo
16th
Vergne
17th
Kovalainen
18th
Kobayashi
It certainly was not one of Hamilton's easier race wins, with the Lotuses looking like they had the pace to challenge for the win throughout the race. The narrow track of the Hungaroring certain helped keep the Lotus's at bay but Hamilton's mature drive may have equally ensured victory. Rather than his usual aggression, Hamilton drove carefully to make the tires last, so much so that he was putting in faster lap times than Raikkonen in the final few laps despite being on older tires. It bodes well for his championship chances if Hamilton can drive with this type of control for the rest of the season.

ButtonLotus had a tremendous race, showing incredible pace and good strategic decisions. They have been close to winning a couple of times this year and Hungary is their closest yet, so a victory this season looks likely. It's worth noting that the Lotus performs better in warm weather and Hungary was the warmest race this year. Success at other hight temperature track is likely but they will not have that pace at every future race. Hopefully from now on both Lotus drivers will join Vettel, Webber, Hamilton, Button and Alonso as the realistic contenders for victory. 2012 looks likely to continue to be the most diverse in F1 history.

Another race has gone and still no one is challenging Alonso's championship lead. Alonso's 5th position finally breaks his incredible run since Valencia of two wins and a 2nd place. However, his closest rivals, the two Red Bulls, finished in similar positions to Alonso. Instead of decreasing his lead, Hungary meant Hamilton and Raikkonen have now almost caught the Red Bull drivers. With four drivers now taking points from one another, the championship looks like Alonso's to lose. His competitor's only hope is that Ferrari is still lacking pace after the summer break.

Image © nic_r

Next race weekend 31st August to 2nd September. Click to see live odds for Belgium.

Hamilton completely dominated qualifying at the Hungaroring.

Qualifying Results
Starting Position
1st
Hamilton
2nd
Grosjean
3rd
Vettel
4th
Button
5th
Raikkonen
6th
Alonso
6th
Massa
8th
Maldonado
9th
Senna
10th
Hulkenberg
11th
Webber
12th
di Resta
13th
Rosberg
14th
Perez
15th
Kobayashi
16th
Vergne
17th
Schumacher
18th
Ricciardo
Hamilton looks by far strongest for victory and the odds reflect this at 91/100 (1.91) from 888sport. He was quickest in each session of qualifying and twice in free practice. Only two things might unsettle Hamilton. Hungary is a difficult course to pass on and Grosjean is often quick on the start. Also, light rain is predicted, with Hamilton good but not strongest in the rain.

With the race victories at Hungary coming from anywhere in the top four, Button is a strong contender if the rain is heavy. 11/1 (12.00) from Bet 365 are good odds. Button looks good for an outside bet.

Vettel has unusually high odds at 9/2 (5.50) from 888sport. However, he looks to lack the pace of Hamilton, the track is difficult to pass on and Vettel is not especially strong in the rain. However, any driver with those odds are reasonable value for money from 3rd place and especially so for Vettel.

The big unknown is Grosjean. Generally, he finishes higher than he qualifies yet his best finishing position is only 3rd. However, he seems slow in the rain in his few wet races so far and the Lotus usually only becomes competitive in the second half of the race. Grosjean is currently 15/2 (8.50) from Bet 365 but is one for live betting.

Image © nic_r

Odds above accurate at Saturday 28th, 14.40 GMT. Click to see live odds.

McLaren likely to continue their usual dominance at Hungary.

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Hamilton
Hamilton
2nd
Button
Raikkonen
3rd
Alonso
Senna
4th
Rosberg
Massa
5th
Grosjean
Alonso
6th
Schumacher
Button
6th
Raikkonen
di Resta
8th
Bottas
Vettel
9th
Perez
Grosjean
10th
Hulkenberg
Schumacher
11th
Maldonado
Rosberg
12th
Kobayashi
Maldonado
13th
Webber
Hulkenberg
14th
di Resta
Webber
15th
Vettel
Kobayashi
16th
Ricciardo
Vergne
17th
Vergne
Ricciardo
18th
Bianchi
Perez
19th
Petrov
Petrov
20th
Pic
Kovalainen
21nd
Kovalainen
Glock
22nd
Glock
de la Rossa
23rd
de la Rossa
Pic
24th
Clos
Karthikeyan
Hamilton was quickest in both Friday practice sessions and Button was second quickest in FP1. Hamilton has the lowest odds for both qualifying (2/1 (3.00) from 888sport) and the race (3/1 (4.00) from 888sport). Hamilton certainly does look strongest but Button is better value for money for the race victory at 9/1 (8.00) from Bet365. Rain has been predicted for the race and Button is renowned for his skill handling changing weather conditions, including winning here in 2006 starting 14th on the grid. Live betting is advised: the McLaren has struggled in both the last two wet qualifying sessions and it is currently unknown if they face similar difficulties in a wet race.

The biggest surprise from qualifying was the lack of pace from the Red Bulls, both struggling to set top ten times. The rain cancelled any plans for low fuel running from Red Bull so their exact pace is unknown. However, their times were unusually low and both drivers admitted they were off the pace. Despite this Vettel is still second favorite for qualifying (11/4 (3.75) from William Hill) and the race (10/3 (4.33) from Ladbrokes). He does not currently look like value for money although FP3 Saturday morning might give a true indication of potential. Webber has 14/1 (15.00) from Ladbrokes for race victory. Having won more races than everyone but Alonso this year, these seem incredibly good odds for a high profit bet.

The qualifying should be dry which probably rules out a pole position for Alonso. With rain predicted for the race he should prove strong and 9/2 (5.50) from 888sport are good odds. The major issue will be how well the McLaren handles the wet weather. If the McLaren proves weak and given Red Bull's problems, Alonso could be good for victory. If the McLaren can keep pace in the rain then they will probably win. Live betting is recommended.

Image © nic_r

Odds above accurate at Friday 27th, 17.40 GMT. Click to see live odds.

The 11th Race of 2012, Hungarian Grand Prix at the Hungaroring

Previous Winners
2011
Button
2010
Webber
2009
Hamilton
2008
Kovalainen
2007
Hamilton
2006
Button
2005
Raikkonen
2004
Schumacher
2003
Alonso
2002
Barrichello

The Hungaroring is typically a McLaren hunting ground, with five victories in the last six races. Only Webber, in 2010, has broken their dominance. The race has been won from 4th position or better in all but one race for the last ten years. Strangely, the race has not been won from pole since 2004.

With pole position being no guarantee of success, drivers who are weaker at qualifying usually have good odds for victory. Button has near double Hamliton's odds at 9/1 (10.00) from Ladbrokes and he looked back on the pace at Hockenheim. Webber's odds are almost three times Vettel's at 12/1 (11.00) from StanJames, despite Webber's weakness of qualifying not mattering at the Hungaroring. Raikkonen showed excellent pace in Germany, going from 10th to 4th on the grid. 14/1 (15.00) from StanJames are good odds, though betting on a podium if he does not qualify top 4 may pay off. There might be rain on Sunday so considering waiting on the forecast and bet on Alonso, Button and Schumacher if a wet race is likely.

Vettle is the current favourite at 3/1 (4.00) from 888sport, on a track he has never won. Webber has odds three times as high at 12/1 (13.00) from StanJames despite winning here in 2010. The course suits the Red Bull and Webber has the best odds.

Alonso is second favourite for victory at 7/2 (4.50) from 888sport. With the Red Bull and the McLaren suiting the Hungaroring better than the Ferrari, Alonso's odds will only be good if he qualifies well.

Qualifying bets should depend upon the weather. Alonso took pole in the last two race but he admits the Ferrari is currently weaker than his competitors, suggesting Alonso success at qualifying depends on the rain. With the McLaren weak in the rain, Alonso for pole and Schumacher qualifying top 3 are good bets for wet weather qualifying. If, as currently forecast, qualifying is dry then Vettel and Hamilton are usually equally strongest for pole position. Vettel has 9/4 (3.25) from 888sport but Hamilton's odds are better at 47/2 (4.50) from Bet 365.

Image © Rodefeld

Odds above accurate at Friday 27th, 00.40 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Heavy rain at Hockenheim practice sessions.

Free Practice Results
        FP1
FP2
1st
Button
Maldonado
2nd
Hamilton
Rosberg
3rd
Alonso
Vettel
4th
Schumacher
Perez
5th
Perez
Grosjean
6th
Hulkenberg
Hulkenberg
6th
Rosberg
Ricciardo
8th
Massa
Button
9th
Maldonado
Webber
10th
Grosjean
Raikkonen
11th
Kobayashi
Vergne
12th
Vettel
Massa
13th
Bottas
Kobayashi
14th
Ricciardo
Pic
15th
Raikkonen
Glock
16th
Bianchi
Senna
17th
Vergne
Kovalainen
18th
Petrov
di Resta
19th
Kovalainen
Hamilton
20th
Webber
Alonso
21nd
Pic
Petrov
22nd
Glock
Karthikeyan
23rd
de la Rosa
Schumacher
24th
Clos
de la Rossa

With rain interrupting both practise sessions they only provided limited information about driver potential this weekend. The drenched FP2 can largely be written off, the fastest time was 11 seconds slower than FP1 but the sections of clear running in FP1 has some interesting hints. Button topping the first session with Hamilton close behind is the major surprise. After their recent poor performance, the upgrade package brought to Hockenheim seems to have paid off. Hamilton still looks good for pole with Vettel off the pace during dry running. Button still has high odds after his poor performance but if the upgrades have restored his competitive edge substantial money could be made on a victory at 13/1 (14.00) from StanJames or a podium at 5/1 (6/00) from Ladbrokes. Alonso came 3rd, keeping up the pace of recent races. Pole is unlikely for the Spaniard but he will look to continue his challenges for victory. Red Bull came 12th and 20th but they are just hiding their pace and only FP3 will give information about their potential.

Schumacher timed 4th and Rosberg 7th suggesting they will challenge for a podium and certainly a top six position. Both have 3/2 (2.50) from Bet 365. Perez came 5th, looking very good for a high pay off bet on a podium since likely high tire degradation will work to his advantage, with odds of 32/1 (33.00) from Ladbrokes. Lotus have brought an experimental DRS system but never had much opportunity to test it in FP1. It is unknown if they will use it this race but if they do focus on Lotus for live betting: they usually do better in the race than qualifying and with an experimental system to boot they may pull some surprises if it works.

Odds above accurate at Friday 20th, 18.41 GMT. Click to see live odds.

Image © nic_r

Hamilton
                        2012    
Since 2010
Won
4
12
Pole
7
9
Podium
7
22
Top 6
10
40
Top 10
14
45
Last update: Brazil

Season analysis after Korea

Hamilton has had a string of difficult races recently, pushing his odds quite high, making him good value for money. Back in Singapore he looked favourite to challenge to challenge Alonso for the championship until a gearbox failure lead to his retirement. Although Red Bull have clearly upped their game Hamilton should not be discounted for another victory in the remaining four races given the dominance McLaren showed between Germany and Singapore. Since Vettel is still looking stronger a good option is to make Hamilton a back up bet for victory when betting on Vettel to win.

Many of McLaren’s recent problems have some from mechanical failure, making qualifying a safer option to bet on. Although Webber is now an important factor, Hamilton is still Vettel’s main challenger for pole position and usually has reasonable odds given Vettel’s dominance in recent qualifying sessions.

Bets for Hamilton to take podiums, top 6 and top 10 are more risky given Hamilton’s aggressive driving style and the reliability difficulties of McLaren. Generally there are better drivers for these categories although on a weekend where McLaren are looking quite strong but still behind Red Bull then Hamilton can be a good bet for a podium.

At this stage Hamilton’s championship chances are completely over unless both Vettel and Alonso have multiple retirements.

Click to see live odds for next race.

 

 

Season analysis after Hungary

Hamilton has been very inconsistent throughout 2012. The McLaren initially looked the fastest car and a dominate season by Hamiton looked likely. Grid penalties China and Spain undid his qualifying performance whilst pitstop errors in Malaysia and Bahrain ruined his race potential. Despite this bad luck, he started the season with three podiums and high potential for wins. Hamilton finally got some incident free races but generally struggled and looked off the pace. The upgrades McLaren brought to Germany have worked well, resulting in victory at Hungary. Despite being so far behind in the championship, Hamilton' improved McLaren should have more victories this season. However, Hamilton usually has fairly low odds, meaning profit will be limited by betting on race victories.

Pole position is probably a superior bet than race winner for Hamilton. He has three pole positions, one disqualified pole and three 2nd places at qualifying this season. This equals Vettel for poles but Hamilton has just missed out many times by coming 2nd. Hamilton looks equal if not stronger than Vettel for pole position yet Hamilton usually has substantially higher,than Vettel for qualifying, making Hamilton to start P1 an excellent bet. However, all these pole positions have come in the dry. The McLaren is currently very weak during wet qualifying.

Hamilton needs two things to realistically win the champion: race wins and consistency. With two victories this season and an improved McLaren, winning is not the problem. Hamilton has always struggled to gain consistent points, usually scoring high or not scoring at all. His competitors like Alonso, Webber, even Vettel and Raikkonen are far more consistent. Hamilton controlled his race well for his win in Hungary, so there are signs he could become more consistent but he has a long way to go.

This update is out of date, see update from Korea above for current update.

Image © Eugene Flores